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Analytics · Global Environment Facility · international funding · Recovery

Regional context and lessons from GEF implementation: what the OPS8 evaluation shows

Authors: Ania Ostapenko, Taisiia Kryvenko, Ihor Dunaiev

The Eighth Comprehensive Evaluation of the GEF (OPS8), published by the GEF Independent Evaluation Office at the end of 2025, shows where the fund’s projects work best and what separates lasting results from one-off ones. It contains no separate findings on Ukraine, but the Europe and Central Asia region, to which Ukraine belongs, has the highest ratings for completed projects. We look at the evaluation’s main figures and at what hromadas preparing projects can take from them.

What is the OPS8 evaluation, and does it cover Ukraine?

It is the eighth comprehensive evaluation of the GEF, prepared by its Independent Evaluation Office. It contains no separate data or findings on Ukraine, so for Ukrainian projects we rely on general patterns rather than ready-made ratings.

The full title of the report is “Integration for Greater Impact: Eighth Comprehensive Evaluation of the GEF”. Its outcome ratings are based on 2,449 completed projects whose ratings were independently validated through June 2025.

Ukraine appears in the report only in passing:

  • a UNIDO project on the disposal of polychlorinated biphenyls in Ukraine (GEF ID 4386) is mentioned as an example of technological solutions in chemicals management;
  • the World Bank regional project for the Black Sea, “Blueing the Black Sea” (GEF ID 10563), with Ukraine among its participants, is cited as an example of policy harmonisation across several countries;
  • Eastern Europe and Central Asia, the report says, had minimal engagement in the Country Engagement Strategy despite relatively higher institutional capacity, and held no national dialogues during the period reviewed.

So below we rely on the evaluation’s general findings and apply them to what we see in Ukrainian hromadas.

Why do projects in Europe and Central Asia have the highest ratings?

Among completed projects approved in GEF-5 to GEF-7, the Europe and Central Asia region ranks first on all six evaluation criteria. The evaluation itself explains the differences between regions by country status rather than geography.

Share of completed GEF-5 to GEF-7 projects with satisfactory outcome ratings and likely sustainability:

RegionOutcome / sustainability, %
Europe and Central Asia89 / 75
Asia88 / 70
Latin America and the Caribbean84 / 69
Africa81 / 59

Europe and Central Asia also ranks first on quality of implementation (93%), but second place there goes to Latin America (90%), not Asia. In the region, 90% of projects have satisfactory monitoring and evaluation design, and 84% satisfactory implementation of it.

According to the evaluation, the greatest difficulties are faced by projects in Africa, Latin America, small island developing states and fragile and conflict-affected countries. The report links the differences primarily to country status: least developed and fragile states find it harder.

The regional advantage is not guaranteed for Ukraine. The evaluation notes separately that in fragile and conflict-affected countries projects more often stumble at implementation rather than at the execution of individual activities.

What determines whether a result outlives the grant?

The most durable results came from projects that worked closely with local institutions, customary structures and national policies. A typical weakness is financial sustainability: many initiatives remain dependent on external donors.
64%of completed GEF projects have likely sustainability of results, while 82% have satisfactory outcomes

The evaluation calls this gap between outcomes and sustainability persistent, although overall the GEF’s performance is in line with other international organisations. What recurs in the cluster evaluations of drylands, the Lower Mekong basin and the island states of the Pacific and the Caribbean:

  • results last where the project is embedded in local institutions and national policies rather than running in parallel to them;
  • financial sustainability is a common weakness: many initiatives continue to depend heavily on external donor funding;
  • project monitoring is not integrated into national reporting systems.

For a hromada preparing a project, this leads to a simple rule: before the start, decide who will finance the result after the grant and whose reporting the indicators will become part of.

How does a GEF project move beyond the pilot?

Through broader adoption: the project’s results are taken up by the government, hromadas or businesses. This was achieved by 59% of completed GEF-6 and GEF-7 projects, most often through policies, legal frameworks and institutions.

The evaluation’s logic is this: GEF resources are limited, so transformational change is only possible when others take up the results at scale. In a sample of 81 completed GEF-6 and GEF-7 projects it looked like this:

What was taken upShare of projects
Policies, legal frameworks, institutions58%
Capacity of people and institutions40%
Technologies and practices with direct environmental benefits18%

Examples from the evaluation:

  • Philippines (GEF ID 5767, UNDP): a city replicated sustainable land management practices with its own agriculture budget, and the province scaled them up.
  • Sri Lanka (GEF ID 5677, FAO): after the success of farmer field schools, which moved online during the pandemic, the government expanded the approach.
  • Uruguay (GEF ID 4998, UNDP): mercury analysis training was institutionalised in a pilot laboratory, and five years after the project closed its participants from six Latin American countries still work in a shared network.

Why are policy coherence and behaviour change achieved less often?

Only 46% of projects in the sample managed to align environmental goals with the policies of other sectors: reforms usually take longer than a project. New GEF-8 projects work more often with people’s needs and institutional capacity.

The evaluation looked at 39 completed GEF-6 and GEF-7 projects that planned to change policies across several sectors. 87% of them implemented the planned activities, but only 18 projects, or 46%, achieved tangible policy coherence results.

Two examples where it worked:

  • Morocco (GEF ID 2554, UNDP): a project approved back in GEF-3 played a key role in developing Energy Efficiency Law No. 47-09 with building codes and mandatory energy audits, and spurred a national green cities programme.
  • Western Balkans (GEF ID 3690, UNDP): interministerial committees on water policy were set up in four Dinaric Karst countries, and in Albania the project contributed to the creation of a water resources management agency.

Behaviour change follows a similar pattern. Among GEF-8 projects aimed at behaviour change, 38% align their activities with the needs of the people concerned (14% in earlier projects), and 43% strengthen institutional capacity (previously 24%).

Training and awareness raising trigger change, but according to the evaluation, sustaining new behaviour depends on access to capital, perceived benefits and continued institutional support.

How efficiently does the GEF spend its money?

In terms of administrative cost share, the GEF is among the leanest multilateral environmental funds: 3.7% of expenditures. Disbursements amount to 76% of approved funds, compared with 31% at the Green Climate Fund.
IndicatorGEFGCF
Administrative costs, % of expenditures3.717.63
Disbursement to approval, %7631

The GCF figures in the report cover 2021 to 2023, and the lowest administrative cost share in this comparison belongs to another fund of the GEF family, the LDCF, at 1%. The evaluation calls the GEF the most efficient among the vertical climate funds specifically in terms of its administrative cost to expenditure ratio.

On speed, the picture is mixed:

  • the median time from concept approval to CEO endorsement in GEF-8 fell to about 18 to 19 months, compared with 22 to 23 in GEF-6 and GEF-7, although the figure differs between sections of the report;
  • the time from endorsement to first disbursement, on the contrary, has grown, partly because of the pandemic: for projects endorsed in 2022 to 2023 the median was 20 months, compared with 9 and 11 months in GEF-7 and GEF-6.

The evaluation also notes growing complexity. In addition to STAR allocations, the GEF Trust Fund runs five competitive windows, including the Non-Grant Instrument Program, the Innovation Window and the SGP CSO Challenge, while the Global Biodiversity Framework Fund (GBFF) is a separate fund with its own selection.

What do these findings mean for hromadas and our initiative?

The weak points OPS8 records most often are financial sustainability after the grant and monitoring outside national systems. We are building our initiative on green public procurement (GPP) and ESG standards in hromadas around them.

What follows is the authors’ position, not a GEF finding:

  1. Anchor the result in rules. After GEF projects, policies and institutional changes spread most often. Environmental requirements in local procurement are exactly this kind of change: they work every year, not only for the duration of the grant.
  2. Plan financial sustainability from day one. A hromada carries out procurement from its own budget, so green requirements in it do not depend on continued donor funding.
  3. Build monitoring into local reporting. ESG indicators that the hromada tracks itself do not disappear when the project ends.
  4. Factor war risks into the plan. For front-line hromadas implementation is harder, so the project should provide fallback options for works and access.

There is a resource for this work: Ukraine’s GEF-9 allocation is $9.06 million, and in this cycle it can go to any of the three areas. We explained how the allocation works in the second article in this series, and how GEF money reaches Ukraine in the first.

Figures are given according to the OPS8 report of the GEF Independent Evaluation Office and its 2025 Annual Performance Report; percentages refer to completed projects with independently validated ratings. The conclusions for hromadas and the initiative on green procurement and ESG standards are the authors’ position, not the GEF’s. This material is for information only.

FAQ

What is OPS8?
The eighth comprehensive evaluation of the GEF, prepared by its Independent Evaluation Office. The report was published at the end of 2025, and its outcome ratings are based on 2,449 completed projects.
Does OPS8 evaluate projects in Ukraine separately?
No. Ukraine is mentioned only in passing: a UNIDO project on the disposal of polychlorinated biphenyls (GEF ID 4386) is cited as an example, along with a regional project for the Black Sea.
Which region has the best GEF project results?
Europe and Central Asia: among completed GEF-5 to GEF-7 projects, 89% satisfactory outcomes and 75% likely sustainability, the best results on all six criteria.
What share of GEF projects are successful?
82% of completed projects have satisfactory outcomes, and the same 82% for quality of implementation and execution. Sustainability is rated likely for 64%.
What is broader adoption?
When a project’s results are taken up by others: the government, hromadas, businesses. It was achieved by 59% of completed GEF-6 and GEF-7 projects in the evaluation sample.
What spreads most often after a GEF project?
Policies, legal frameworks and institutions in 58% of projects, capacity of people and institutions in 40%. Technologies and practices with direct environmental benefits in only 18%.
Why do results not last after the grant?
The most common weakness is financial: initiatives depend on external donors. Another is that project monitoring is not built into national reporting systems.
How much does the GEF spend on administration?
3.7% of GEF Trust Fund expenditures. For comparison: 17.63% at the Green Climate Fund in 2021 to 2023, and 1% at the LDCF.
How long does it take to prepare a GEF project?
From concept approval to CEO endorsement in GEF-8, about 18 to 19 months at the median. For projects endorsed in 2022 to 2023, the first disbursement came about 20 months later.
What competitive windows does the GEF have?
Five windows of the Trust Fund: non-grant instruments, the Inclusive GEF Assembly Challenge, the Innovation Window, the SGP CSO Challenge and a STAR competitive window for policy coherence. The GBFF is a separate fund.
What should a hromada preparing a project take from this?
Before the start, decide who will finance the result after the grant, how the indicators will become part of local reporting and which rules will anchor the change.

The key points

According to the OPS8 evaluation, GEF projects in Europe and Central Asia have the highest ratings, but the evaluation contains no separate findings on Ukraine, and implementation is harder in conflict-affected countries. Results most often last after the grant where the project is embedded in local institutions and policies.

The weakest points are financial sustainability and monitoring outside national systems. These are exactly what we are preparing our initiative on green public procurement and ESG standards in hromadas around.

How the fund works with hromadas on environmental recovery: the Recovery direction. Partnerships: [email protected].

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